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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+2.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42+1.50vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.47+0.44vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.18-2.73vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-2.78+0.73vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.23-1.17vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.66-1.23vs Predicted
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9Washington College-2.04-3.43vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.17-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.2%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
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4.44Drexel University-1.470.1%1st Place
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2.27Washington College-0.180.4%1st Place
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6.73Princeton University-2.780.0%1st Place
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5.83Rutgers University-2.230.1%1st Place
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6.77Monmouth University-2.660.0%1st Place
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5.57Washington College-2.040.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Delaware-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ryan | 22.0% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 36.8% | 29.0% | 17.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Morgan Griffith | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 31.3% |
| Cooper Bennett | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 12.6% |
| Joseph Arrigo | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 22.5% | 28.0% |
| George Wood | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 9.9% |
| Tyler Needham | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.