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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42+3.50vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.18-0.50vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-2.07+1.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-1.89vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.17-0.16vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.23-0.98vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.47-3.40vs Predicted
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9Washington College-2.04-3.25vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-2.66-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
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2.5Washington College-0.180.3%1st Place
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5.81Princeton University-2.070.1%1st Place
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3.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.2%1st Place
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5.84University of Delaware-2.170.0%1st Place
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6.02Rutgers University-2.230.1%1st Place
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4.6Drexel University-1.470.1%1st Place
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5.75Washington College-2.040.1%1st Place
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6.88Monmouth University-2.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew McCarvill | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 32.5% | 27.1% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexandros Chalvatzakis | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 13.2% |
| Kevin Ryan | 21.7% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Needham | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 15.6% |
| Cooper Bennett | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 9.8% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.3% |
| George Wood | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 13.6% |
| Joseph Arrigo | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.