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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.18+1.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+0.30vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.47+0.62vs Predicted
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5Washington College-2.04+0.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-1.63vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.23-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.17-2.02vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-2.66-2.13vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-2.07-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Washington College-0.180.4%1st Place
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3.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.2%1st Place
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4.62Drexel University-1.470.1%1st Place
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5.66Washington College-2.040.1%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
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6.06Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Delaware-2.170.1%1st Place
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6.87Monmouth University-2.660.0%1st Place
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5.77Princeton University-2.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Salzberg | 37.0% | 24.6% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Ryan | 18.8% | 22.1% | 19.6% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| George Wood | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 13.5% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 10.6% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Cooper Bennett | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 16.0% |
| Tyler Needham | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 15.1% |
| Joseph Arrigo | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 34.6% |
| Alexandros Chalvatzakis | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.