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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.40+1.27vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.07-0.21vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07-1.21vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49-0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.56-1.49vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.14-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27William and Mary-0.400.3%1st Place
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1.79Virginia Tech0.070.5%1st Place
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1.79Virginia Tech0.070.5%1st Place
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3.36American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Maryland-1.560.1%1st Place
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4.07Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Stillman | 30.0% | 33.0% | 20.8% | 12.4% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 47.8% | 31.2% | 15.8% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 47.8% | 31.2% | 15.8% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 10.3% | 13.4% | 25.8% | 30.6% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Lara Nielsen | 7.4% | 13.5% | 25.4% | 28.4% | 25.3% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 4.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 24.2% | 50.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.