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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+0.81vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.07-0.19vs Predicted
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3American University-1.49+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.56-0.50vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.14-0.96vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.40-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Virginia Tech0.070.5%1st Place
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1.81Virginia Tech0.070.5%1st Place
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3.42American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Maryland-1.560.1%1st Place
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4.04Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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2.24William and Mary-0.400.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 48.4% | 30.6% | 14.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 48.4% | 30.6% | 14.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 8.1% | 15.6% | 24.8% | 29.2% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Lara Nielsen | 9.0% | 13.3% | 22.6% | 29.4% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 4.4% | 7.8% | 15.3% | 24.7% | 47.8% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 30.1% | 32.7% | 22.9% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.