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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-1.49+2.28vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.40+0.03vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.08-0.20vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.08-1.20vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.14-1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.14-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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2.03William and Mary-0.400.4%1st Place
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2.8Virginia Tech-1.080.2%1st Place
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2.8Virginia Tech-1.080.2%1st Place
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4.0Catholic University of America-2.140.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Maryland-1.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Arey | 14.0% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 26.8% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 40.6% | 30.2% | 17.8% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 20.5% | 23.1% | 24.1% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 20.5% | 23.1% | 24.1% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 23.6% | 48.3% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 18.8% | 21.3% | 25.5% | 20.5% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.