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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+0.84vs Predicted
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2American University-1.49+1.42vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.40-0.76vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.07-2.16vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.56-1.55vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.14-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Virginia Tech0.070.5%1st Place
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3.42American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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2.24William and Mary-0.400.3%1st Place
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1.84Virginia Tech0.070.5%1st Place
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3.45University of Maryland-1.560.1%1st Place
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4.05Catholic University of America-2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 48.1% | 29.5% | 14.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 8.6% | 14.6% | 24.4% | 30.9% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 29.9% | 33.6% | 21.6% | 12.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 48.1% | 29.5% | 14.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Lara Nielsen | 8.0% | 13.9% | 26.3% | 28.3% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 5.4% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 22.3% | 50.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.