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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+0.66vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.58+0.08vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.03-1.34vs Predicted
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4American University-1.50-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-2.85-0.85vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.90-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Virginia Tech-0.030.5%1st Place
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2.08William and Mary-0.580.3%1st Place
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1.66Virginia Tech-0.030.5%1st Place
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2.93American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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4.18Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 52.2% | 32.7% | 12.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 30.8% | 38.6% | 23.4% | 6.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 52.2% | 32.7% | 12.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 12.1% | 18.1% | 40.3% | 23.5% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.6% | 4.6% | 13.1% | 34.7% | 45.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 2.3% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 32.8% | 48.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.