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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.58+0.76vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-2.23+1.24vs Predicted
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3American University-0.85-1.07vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-2.85-0.19vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-2.23-1.76vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-3.36-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76William and Mary-0.580.5%1st Place
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3.24Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
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1.93American University-0.850.4%1st Place
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3.81University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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3.24Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
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4.26Catholic University of America-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Johnson | 48.3% | 33.0% | 13.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 8.1% | 14.8% | 33.5% | 32.0% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 37.4% | 39.5% | 16.7% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Fuller | 3.9% | 7.8% | 22.4% | 35.5% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 8.1% | 14.8% | 33.5% | 32.0% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Blahunka | 2.3% | 4.9% | 13.5% | 22.7% | 56.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.