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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.58+0.74vs Predicted
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2American University-0.85-0.05vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-2.23+0.22vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-2.23-0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-2.85-1.18vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-3.36-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74William and Mary-0.580.5%1st Place
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1.95American University-0.850.4%1st Place
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3.22Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
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3.22Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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4.27Catholic University of America-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Johnson | 47.2% | 35.6% | 13.0% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 37.0% | 37.6% | 19.7% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 9.5% | 14.3% | 33.8% | 29.6% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 9.5% | 14.3% | 33.8% | 29.6% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Fuller | 3.9% | 7.4% | 22.2% | 35.9% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Blahunka | 2.4% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 25.4% | 55.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.