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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.58+1.12vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.03-0.34vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.03-1.34vs Predicted
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4American University-1.50-1.09vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-2.85-0.86vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.90-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12William and Mary-0.580.3%1st Place
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1.66Virginia Tech-0.030.5%1st Place
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1.66Virginia Tech-0.030.5%1st Place
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2.91American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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4.17Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Johnson | 30.8% | 37.3% | 22.7% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 52.2% | 32.7% | 12.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 52.2% | 32.7% | 12.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 12.0% | 19.3% | 40.0% | 22.7% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.5% | 4.4% | 13.9% | 34.5% | 44.7% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 2.5% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 32.5% | 47.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.