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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.27+1.56vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.28+2.10vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.93+0.07vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.15+0.38vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.27vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.00-1.40vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.08-2.44vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.15-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Tulane University1.270.3%1st Place
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4.1Rice University0.280.1%1st Place
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3.07University of Texas0.930.2%1st Place
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4.38Texas A&M University0.150.1%1st Place
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4.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.6Texas A&M University-0.000.1%1st Place
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4.56Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.38Texas A&M University0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Corral | 33.9% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 10.1% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 21.0% | 22.6% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 7.3% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 23.8% | 0.0% |
| Cole Gourley | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carew | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.