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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.28+3.02vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.93+1.05vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.27-0.45vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.15+0.41vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.25vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.08-1.27vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.00-2.51vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.15-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Rice University0.280.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Texas0.930.2%1st Place
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2.55Tulane University1.270.3%1st Place
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4.41Texas A&M University0.150.1%1st Place
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4.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.73Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.49Texas A&M University-0.000.1%1st Place
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4.41Texas A&M University0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 22.1% | 20.8% | 20.7% | 16.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Corral | 31.0% | 26.2% | 18.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 23.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carew | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Gourley | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.