← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College3.68+7.21vs Predicted
-
2Boston College4.43+3.55vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.76+5.14vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College3.83+3.89vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.67+3.25vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston4.61-0.76vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-0.43vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.79+3.56vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.06vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.92-2.62vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida2.80+0.86vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.54-3.03vs Predicted
-
13Yale University3.50-3.74vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.93-2.52vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-5.13vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.18vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University3.29-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.21Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
-
5.55Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
8.14Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
-
7.89Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
-
8.25Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
5.24College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
-
6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
-
11.56University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
-
8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
-
7.38University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
11.86University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
-
8.97Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
-
9.26Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
11.48University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
-
9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
-
13.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
-
10.01Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Shea | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Allison Blecher | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 14.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 14.4% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Jamie Curran | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 34.9% |
| Catherine Swanson | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.