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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.78+1.61vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.33-0.56vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.27+1.92vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.40+0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11-0.40vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.31-2.66vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.28-2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.98-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Western Washington University1.8129.9%1st Place
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3.65University of Washington1.0717.3%1st Place
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4.61University of Washington0.7810.4%1st Place
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3.44Western Washington University1.3318.6%1st Place
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6.92Oregon State University-0.273.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Oregon-0.403.6%1st Place
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6.6University of Oregon0.114.2%1st Place
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5.34Western Washington University0.317.3%1st Place
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6.67University of Washington-0.284.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Oregon-0.981.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Leif Hauge | 29.9% | 22.4% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Lucien Freemesser | 17.3% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Kirin Dhaka | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
Adam Turloff | 18.6% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 16.2% |
Rowan Clinch | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 14.3% |
Emily Avey | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 11.6% |
Ellie Blakemore | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
Alice Meng | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 13.2% |
Euseekers Williams | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.