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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+4.13vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.64+4.48vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.25+1.85vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy3.06+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.55+1.71vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65-2.15vs Predicted
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7Bates College2.26+0.36vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-2.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94-4.54vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.85-2.58vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.30vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.66-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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5.36Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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3.85Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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7.36Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.89Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.46Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.42Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Renehan | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Lyle Fielding | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| William Howard | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Blake Burgess | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 20.6% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 6.6% |
| James Rohman | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 23.5% | 12.2% |
| Richard Graef | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 6.9% |
| James Fales | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.