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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Renehan 10.7% 11.5% 12.0% 11.2% 11.8% 9.2% 11.2% 7.5% 6.6% 5.1% 3.1% 0.1%
Lyle Fielding 5.6% 8.1% 7.7% 9.1% 8.7% 8.9% 9.1% 10.5% 12.3% 10.8% 6.9% 2.3%
William Howard 14.0% 10.9% 11.5% 11.9% 11.6% 9.9% 9.7% 9.4% 6.5% 2.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Blake Burgess 9.6% 11.1% 11.4% 12.3% 9.2% 10.3% 9.5% 9.5% 6.3% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4%
Steven Pelissier 6.0% 7.7% 6.9% 7.1% 8.4% 9.7% 10.0% 8.7% 10.9% 12.4% 7.9% 4.3%
Duncan Swain 20.6% 17.4% 14.4% 11.2% 11.9% 8.1% 5.6% 6.0% 2.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
David Pierce 5.6% 4.8% 5.5% 7.7% 6.7% 7.6% 8.6% 8.0% 11.9% 12.9% 14.1% 6.6%
James Rohman 9.2% 9.7% 9.4% 9.0% 8.2% 9.9% 10.1% 9.8% 10.0% 7.5% 5.2% 2.0%
Michael Saldi 9.2% 10.6% 10.8% 10.3% 11.7% 10.0% 9.5% 8.6% 8.3% 7.1% 3.8% 0.1%
Nicholas Dragone 4.4% 2.9% 3.8% 3.7% 4.6% 6.4% 6.7% 7.6% 10.7% 13.5% 23.5% 12.2%
Richard Graef 4.3% 4.2% 5.1% 5.3% 5.9% 7.7% 8.3% 12.1% 10.4% 13.9% 15.9% 6.9%
James Fales 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 2.3% 1.7% 2.3% 3.6% 6.3% 14.1% 63.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.