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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Will Priebe 12.2% 11.8% 11.2% 10.0% 11.2% 8.9% 8.9% 7.5% 7.0% 4.6% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9%
Luke Hosek 7.2% 8.1% 7.0% 7.0% 8.8% 7.8% 8.6% 8.5% 10.4% 9.6% 7.6% 6.0% 3.4%
Spencer Barnes 13.2% 10.4% 12.8% 12.3% 11.1% 10.3% 8.6% 6.6% 5.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.3% 2.9% 3.3% 3.1% 4.0% 4.8% 4.6% 5.5% 7.3% 11.0% 11.3% 16.4% 23.3%
Ted Sherman 3.1% 3.0% 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 5.3% 6.1% 7.0% 8.7% 11.7% 16.4% 22.2%
Clark Morris 11.1% 11.7% 10.7% 10.2% 10.0% 9.3% 8.6% 8.2% 6.8% 5.9% 4.3% 2.6% 0.5%
Ryan Potter 6.5% 6.8% 6.3% 7.9% 6.4% 7.1% 8.3% 8.4% 9.0% 9.2% 9.4% 8.6% 5.9%
Peter McGonagle 6.0% 4.9% 6.6% 6.3% 6.3% 7.0% 8.6% 9.7% 8.5% 9.1% 11.3% 9.6% 5.9%
Declan Botwinick 10.3% 11.7% 10.4% 9.3% 10.2% 9.3% 8.8% 10.1% 7.4% 5.3% 3.9% 2.5% 0.8%
Lars Osell 8.5% 9.5% 8.8% 8.6% 7.7% 10.1% 8.0% 8.5% 8.3% 8.3% 6.2% 4.8% 2.9%
Fritz Baldauf 4.0% 5.2% 5.3% 5.1% 6.2% 6.1% 7.0% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 11.8% 12.3% 10.0%
Everett Botwinick 12.7% 11.1% 11.5% 12.4% 9.8% 8.3% 8.6% 7.3% 7.0% 4.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.7%
Madison Suh 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 5.3% 7.3% 9.0% 11.6% 15.4% 23.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.