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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.71+4.28vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.01+4.81vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.88+2.00vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.52+5.57vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.10+4.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.72+0.29vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.80-3.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.68vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.60-2.82vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.30-6.77vs Predicted
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13Amherst College0.09-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Northeastern University1.7112.2%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University1.017.2%1st Place
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5.0SUNY Maritime College1.8813.2%1st Place
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9.57Connecticut College0.522.3%1st Place
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9.38University of Michigan0.103.1%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University1.5111.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Vermont0.726.5%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.086.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island1.8010.3%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.228.5%1st Place
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8.18Connecticut College0.604.0%1st Place
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5.23Webb Institute1.3012.7%1st Place
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9.38Amherst College0.092.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Will Priebe | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Luke Hosek | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
Spencer Barnes | 13.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 23.3% |
Ted Sherman | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 22.2% |
Clark Morris | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
Ryan Potter | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
Peter McGonagle | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
Declan Botwinick | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
Lars Osell | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
Fritz Baldauf | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% |
Everett Botwinick | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Madison Suh | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.