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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.27+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.93+1.00vs Predicted
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3Rice University0.28+1.15vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.08+0.77vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.26vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.15-1.69vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.00-2.54vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.15-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Tulane University1.270.3%1st Place
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3.0University of Texas0.930.2%1st Place
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4.15Rice University0.280.1%1st Place
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4.77Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.31Texas A&M University0.150.1%1st Place
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4.46Texas A&M University-0.000.1%1st Place
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4.31Texas A&M University0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Corral | 32.8% | 24.5% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 22.2% | 22.6% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carew | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Gourley | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.