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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.21+11.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+3.70vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.21+4.68vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.76+1.53vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+2.19vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.08+2.38vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.52+3.67vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.97+4.98vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.14+3.38vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.82-0.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+1.76vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47+3.44vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.15-0.39vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.75-4.36vs Predicted
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15Brown University0.03+1.76vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.70-6.09vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-3.69vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.20-1.39vs Predicted
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19Tufts University1.10-6.26vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14-7.57vs Predicted
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21Roger Williams University2.40-14.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.29Tufts University1.210.0%1st Place
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5.7Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.53Brown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.98Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.38Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
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12.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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15.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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12.61University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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16.76Brown University0.030.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Rhode Island1.700.0%1st Place
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13.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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16.61University of Rhode Island0.200.0%1st Place
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12.74Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
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12.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter McFarland | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| James Brock | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearse Dowd | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Stapleton | 11.4% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Moore | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bo Angus | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Crue Ziskind | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Emery Diemar | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Edward Herman | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Peter Judge | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.1% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| Max Sigel | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Dominic Ciccimaro | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 27.6% |
| Zachary Severson | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Murphy | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Jaxon Hottinger | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 23.6% |
| Grant Schmidt | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| David Vinogradov | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.