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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.21+6.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+10.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.73+2.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+2.78vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.76+0.68vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.75+2.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+4.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.21+3.16vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.70-0.04vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.82-1.71vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.08-3.74vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-2.14vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.14-1.50vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.20+1.18vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.15-3.61vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-3.66vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.10-5.03vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47-3.59vs Predicted
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20Brown University0.97-6.78vs Predicted
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21Brown University0.03-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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12.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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5.58Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.68Brown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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12.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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12.16Tufts University1.210.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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9.29Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.5Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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16.18University of Rhode Island0.200.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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13.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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12.97Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
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15.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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13.22Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
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16.87Brown University0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearse Dowd | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joey Richardson | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| James Brock | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Stapleton | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Moore | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| David Vinogradov | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Walter McFarland | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Edward Herman | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Bo Angus | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Crue Ziskind | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Jaxon Hottinger | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 22.8% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Madeline Murphy | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Grant Schmidt | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Peter Judge | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Dominic Ciccimaro | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.