← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.73+4.67vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.08+6.24vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.76+2.53vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.40+2.84vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.82+4.52vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.52+4.97vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.36-0.09vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.70+1.68vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.21-1.39vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.14+2.54vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93+2.28vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.10+0.78vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.21-0.66vs Predicted
-
14Brown University0.97-0.78vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-2.36vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island0.20+0.32vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island1.15-4.60vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island1.75-8.09vs Predicted
-
19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14-6.53vs Predicted
-
20Brown University0.03-3.01vs Predicted
-
21U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.67Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
-
8.24Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
-
5.53Brown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.84Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
-
9.52Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
-
10.97Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
-
6.91Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.68University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
-
7.61Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
-
12.54Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
-
13.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
-
12.78Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
-
12.34Tufts University1.210.0%1st Place
-
13.22Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
-
12.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
-
16.32University of Rhode Island0.200.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.91University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
-
12.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
-
16.99Brown University0.030.0%1st Place
-
15.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo Angus | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Noah Stapleton | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Crue Ziskind | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Parker Moore | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Pearse Dowd | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Madeline Murphy | 2.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Grant Schmidt | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Walter McFarland | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Emery Diemar | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Joey Richardson | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Jaxon Hottinger | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 22.6% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Max Sigel | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| David Vinogradov | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Dominic Ciccimaro | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 16.3% | 30.1% |
| Peter Judge | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.