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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+5.94vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.08+6.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.82+6.36vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.21+3.58vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.97+8.24vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+1.13vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+5.32vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.76-2.53vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.10+3.64vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.70+0.06vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.75-1.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93+1.43vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-2.17vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.73-8.48vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.20+1.21vs Predicted
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16Brown University0.03+0.93vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-4.21vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.14-5.18vs Predicted
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19Tufts University1.21-6.80vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island1.15-7.54vs Predicted
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21U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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13.24Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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12.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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5.47Brown University2.760.2%1st Place
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12.64Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island1.700.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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13.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.52Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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16.21University of Rhode Island0.200.0%1st Place
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16.93Brown University0.030.0%1st Place
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12.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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12.82Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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12.2Tufts University1.210.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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15.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bo Angus | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Pearse Dowd | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% |
| Parker Moore | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Vinogradov | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Noah Stapleton | 15.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Severson | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Max Sigel | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Murphy | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Crue Ziskind | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| James Brock | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Hottinger | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 23.0% |
| Dominic Ciccimaro | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 29.1% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Walter McFarland | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Peter Judge | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.