Race 8A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter McGonagle 5.1% 5.0% 6.4% 6.7% 7.0% 7.6% 6.2% 9.0% 9.1% 9.0% 11.7% 9.7% 7.6%
Declan Botwinick 9.7% 10.4% 11.3% 8.9% 9.4% 9.2% 9.0% 8.9% 7.0% 7.3% 4.1% 3.5% 1.1%
Will Priebe 11.7% 11.7% 10.3% 11.0% 9.9% 9.5% 8.6% 9.2% 6.9% 4.9% 3.5% 1.8% 1.1%
Fritz Baldauf 4.4% 4.8% 5.5% 5.0% 7.0% 5.8% 7.4% 7.8% 9.9% 8.6% 10.9% 12.7% 10.2%
Spencer Barnes 14.0% 13.1% 11.8% 11.4% 10.9% 8.6% 8.0% 7.3% 5.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Ryan Potter 6.0% 6.7% 6.6% 7.0% 6.6% 8.8% 9.0% 9.1% 8.8% 8.0% 9.3% 7.8% 6.2%
Everett Botwinick 12.0% 11.2% 11.0% 10.0% 10.8% 9.4% 9.2% 8.1% 5.9% 6.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.5%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 4.2% 4.2% 3.8% 5.3% 5.7% 7.3% 8.9% 11.0% 17.4% 22.8%
Madison Suh 3.6% 3.4% 3.2% 3.5% 4.8% 4.8% 5.9% 5.0% 6.6% 9.4% 12.0% 15.2% 22.8%
Luke Hosek 7.0% 7.1% 7.7% 9.0% 7.8% 8.3% 9.0% 8.1% 8.9% 9.3% 8.2% 6.3% 3.1%
Lars Osell 8.3% 8.6% 7.5% 8.6% 7.8% 9.4% 8.2% 8.8% 8.9% 8.1% 8.6% 5.0% 2.1%
Ted Sherman 2.9% 3.9% 3.9% 4.3% 4.3% 5.5% 5.2% 6.2% 8.2% 9.6% 10.2% 14.6% 21.1%
Clark Morris 12.6% 11.3% 10.8% 10.5% 9.5% 9.2% 8.9% 7.0% 7.0% 5.9% 4.0% 2.4% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.