Race 4A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Duncan Swain 18.5% 15.4% 16.7% 12.3% 11.4% 9.3% 5.9% 4.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0%
David Pierce 4.4% 3.9% 6.9% 6.0% 7.0% 7.6% 9.5% 7.7% 11.1% 15.7% 14.5% 5.7%
Steven Pelissier 7.5% 5.9% 7.0% 6.6% 8.1% 9.0% 9.6% 11.6% 10.3% 12.5% 8.3% 3.6%
Blake Burgess 9.2% 11.8% 10.6% 12.1% 9.9% 11.6% 7.9% 9.3% 7.9% 6.0% 3.0% 0.7%
William Howard 11.8% 14.6% 11.8% 11.0% 11.8% 9.3% 9.6% 7.3% 6.0% 4.2% 2.3% 0.3%
Michael Saldi 9.9% 9.8% 8.7% 10.9% 10.3% 10.2% 9.7% 10.5% 7.6% 7.6% 3.8% 1.0%
James Rohman 8.7% 9.3% 9.2% 9.4% 9.1% 10.0% 10.1% 9.8% 9.6% 6.4% 6.1% 2.3%
John Renehan 13.8% 12.4% 12.1% 10.1% 9.5% 11.0% 9.2% 8.7% 6.5% 3.5% 2.3% 0.9%
Lyle Fielding 6.6% 7.0% 9.2% 9.8% 9.7% 9.8% 9.5% 10.4% 10.9% 8.6% 7.2% 1.3%
Richard Graef 5.7% 4.6% 4.7% 6.3% 6.7% 6.6% 8.8% 9.9% 12.7% 13.2% 14.5% 6.3%
Nicholas Dragone 3.0% 3.5% 2.6% 4.1% 4.9% 4.5% 7.3% 8.7% 10.5% 13.8% 22.5% 14.6%
James Fales 0.9% 1.8% 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.1% 2.9% 1.9% 3.8% 6.3% 14.5% 63.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.