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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+5.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.01+5.42vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+1.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.36+1.97vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+4.51vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43-0.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.56-1.58vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+2.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.73-0.86vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.53+2.48vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-3.83vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.36+1.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-0.90vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.62-5.65vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.84-7.28vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.11-2.35vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.38-2.14vs Predicted
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18Williams College-1.62-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.42Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.77Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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12.48University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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13.13Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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12.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.65Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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14.86Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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16.84Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.9% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Towner | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 4.4% |
| Ella Demand | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 7.6% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 28.6% | 15.6% |
| Tess Halpern | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 14.4% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.