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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.36+5.17vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+4.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+4.37vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+5.48vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+0.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56-0.60vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06+0.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.73+0.10vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.62-0.49vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-5.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-0.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.11+1.82vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.38+1.71vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-6.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-2.78vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.53-3.62vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.36-4.06vs Predicted
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18Williams College-1.62-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.99Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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5.73Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.4Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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4.71Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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10.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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13.82Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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14.71Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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12.94Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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16.86Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle Sykes | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| bella casaretto | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 20.8% | 7.6% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 27.1% | 14.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Ella Towner | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 4.1% |
| Tess Halpern | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.