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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+3.80vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+3.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+4.35vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+2.91vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+0.32vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+0.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.62+0.45vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.36-3.09vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.73-1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.53+1.43vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-0.90vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-5.32vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.36-1.39vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.11-1.41vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-3.67vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.38-2.10vs Predicted
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18Williams College-1.62-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.96Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.32Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.82Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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12.43University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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11.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.61Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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13.59Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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12.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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14.9Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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16.84Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.9% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 8.8% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Towner | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 3.3% |
| Emma Wang | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 5.8% |
| Ella Demand | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 3.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 29.7% | 15.6% |
| Tess Halpern | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 14.2% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.