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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+4.56vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+5.18vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.11+10.81vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+3.11vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+1.73vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.63vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+3.80vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.53+4.21vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.62-0.45vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-5.22vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-5.12vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.73-3.48vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.36-7.12vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-6.47vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-2.15vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-3.71vs Predicted
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17Williams College-1.620.00vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.38-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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13.81Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.11Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.73Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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4.78Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.85Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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12.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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17.0Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
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14.68Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 6.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Emma Wang | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Ella Towner | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elle Sykes | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 3.7% |
| Ella Demand | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 2.2% |
| Tess Halpern | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 12.5% | 69.7% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 28.3% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.