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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.62+7.80vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+2.74vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+3.89vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+1.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.73+3.12vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.61vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.01+0.14vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06-1.03vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.36-3.06vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.43-4.03vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-3.06vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+0.48vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.53-0.74vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.11-0.63vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.38-0.17vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.36-3.01vs Predicted
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17Williams College-1.62-0.02vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-7.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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4.74Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.89Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.31Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.14Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.94Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.97Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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13.37Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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14.83Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.99Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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16.98Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elle Sykes | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ella Demand | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 2.1% |
| Ella Towner | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 5.3% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 28.1% | 15.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 4.1% |
| Tess Halpern | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 69.8% |
| Emma Wang | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.