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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.50+4.75vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+1.16vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.31+0.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.84+1.02vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.80+1.07vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.60+0.70vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.26+2.11vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.08+0.12vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.90-3.22vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.19vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.45-3.90vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.73-2.59vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.64-7.60vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.61-4.77vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-2.63-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.16Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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3.81Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.12Northeastern University0.080.0%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.1Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Vermont-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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12.23Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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15.42University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 27.3% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 18.2% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Theresa Straw | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Layla Bursor | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 2.3% |
| Lydia Frost | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 1.4% |
| Kiana Beachy | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Meara Conley | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Zia Magill | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 27.9% | 6.8% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 25.3% | 6.9% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 8.9% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.