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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+2.76vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+2.81vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.26+7.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.84+0.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63-2.83vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.60+1.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+0.91vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-3.06vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.64-1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.80-2.92vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.90-5.33vs Predicted
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14Boston College0.45-4.95vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.08-4.78vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.73-3.64vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.61-4.77vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-2.63-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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5.81Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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11.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.05Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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3.17Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University0.600.0%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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5.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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8.45Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University0.080.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont-0.730.0%1st Place
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12.23Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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15.4University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 19.3% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Layla Bursor | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 2.7% |
| Maddie Janzen | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 26.4% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Meara Conley | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Karya Basaraner | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Frost | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Zia Magill | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 27.7% | 6.6% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 25.5% | 7.2% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 80.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.