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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+2.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+1.08vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.84+1.86vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.64+3.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-1.07vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.50-2.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.29vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.90-2.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.26-0.01vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.80-4.12vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.45-4.09vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.61-2.03vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.08-4.97vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.73-3.79vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.07-6.38vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-2.63-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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3.08Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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4.86Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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5.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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10.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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8.91Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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11.97Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.03Northeastern University0.080.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Vermont-0.730.0%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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15.38University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 20.4% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 28.0% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Karya Basaraner | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meara Conley | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Kiana Beachy | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Layla Bursor | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 2.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kate Joslin | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 22.1% | 6.1% |
| Lydia Frost | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% |
| Zia Magill | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 25.1% | 6.7% |
| Caroline Straw | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 1.7% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.