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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+2.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.84+2.83vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+2.77vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.64+4.47vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.90+2.52vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.80+1.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-1.01vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.31-4.34vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.38vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.07-0.42vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.08-1.99vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.45-4.08vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.73-1.73vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.26-4.06vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.61-3.90vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-2.63-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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5.77Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.47Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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5.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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3.66Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.01Northeastern University0.080.0%1st Place
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8.92Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Vermont-0.730.0%1st Place
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10.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.1Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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15.38University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 26.0% | 22.3% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Kiana Beachy | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 20.0% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meara Conley | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Straw | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| Lydia Frost | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 1.4% |
| Kate Joslin | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Zia Magill | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 25.4% | 6.7% |
| Layla Bursor | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 2.7% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 18.7% | 23.3% | 6.2% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 8.2% | 79.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.