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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+2.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.84+2.85vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+2.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.80+4.01vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63-1.88vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.60+2.56vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.90+0.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.59+3.85vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-3.10vs Predicted
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10Boston College0.45-1.04vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.61-0.08vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.64-4.57vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-5.33vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.73-3.84vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.26-5.85vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-2.63-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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5.77Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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3.12Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University0.600.0%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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8.96Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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11.92Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Vermont-0.730.0%1st Place
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11.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.260.0%1st Place
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15.35University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 20.6% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 26.0% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Kiana Beachy | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 5.1% |
| Karya Basaraner | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 22.2% | 5.5% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Meara Conley | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Zia Magill | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 23.5% | 6.0% |
| Layla Bursor | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 2.5% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 79.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.