Race 5A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Renehan 11.8% 10.7% 12.7% 11.8% 11.0% 10.9% 9.2% 8.3% 6.2% 4.4% 2.5% 0.5%
James Rohman 7.9% 9.3% 9.7% 9.5% 9.7% 8.4% 10.9% 9.2% 11.0% 7.0% 5.5% 1.9%
William Howard 13.4% 11.0% 13.9% 9.6% 11.5% 10.4% 8.0% 9.6% 7.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Michael Saldi 8.4% 9.9% 10.1% 12.3% 9.5% 10.7% 10.3% 9.3% 8.0% 6.0% 4.5% 1.0%
David Pierce 4.1% 6.0% 5.8% 5.6% 7.3% 7.6% 8.2% 11.1% 10.2% 11.5% 15.8% 6.8%
Richard Graef 4.6% 4.9% 5.8% 5.7% 6.4% 6.5% 9.3% 9.6% 10.3% 15.8% 14.5% 6.6%
Blake Burgess 11.0% 13.4% 10.2% 11.4% 8.6% 10.6% 10.5% 7.4% 6.4% 7.1% 2.6% 0.8%
Duncan Swain 21.6% 16.8% 12.9% 13.9% 10.1% 9.1% 6.1% 4.2% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
James Fales 0.8% 1.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 1.7% 2.7% 5.1% 8.1% 13.0% 61.4%
Steven Pelissier 6.4% 7.0% 6.9% 7.6% 9.8% 8.6% 8.9% 10.9% 11.3% 11.0% 8.5% 3.1%
Lyle Fielding 6.7% 5.7% 7.9% 8.5% 10.0% 9.0% 9.9% 8.8% 11.3% 10.8% 8.4% 3.0%
Nicholas Dragone 3.3% 4.0% 3.3% 2.9% 4.4% 6.0% 7.0% 8.9% 10.5% 13.4% 22.2% 14.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.