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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.71+4.33vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+3.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+2.52vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.52+5.54vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.72+2.43vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.01+0.95vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.88-1.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.21vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.30-3.64vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.09-3.53vs Predicted
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11Amherst College0.09-1.50vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-5.31vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.10-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Northeastern University1.7112.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Rhode Island1.809.4%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University1.5111.8%1st Place
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9.54Connecticut College0.522.8%1st Place
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7.43University of Vermont0.725.0%1st Place
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6.95Roger Williams University1.017.3%1st Place
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5.19SUNY Maritime College1.8812.9%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.8%1st Place
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5.36Webb Institute1.3011.5%1st Place
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6.47Connecticut College1.098.5%1st Place
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9.5Amherst College0.092.9%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.227.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Michigan0.102.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Priebe | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Clark Morris | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 23.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Spencer Barnes | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Craine | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Madison Suh | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 22.7% |
| Lars Osell | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Ted Sherman | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.