← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.36+0.70vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.68+0.32vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University0.98+0.01vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.94-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.7College of Charleston2.360.5%1st Place
-
2.32College of Charleston1.680.3%1st Place
-
3.01North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
-
2.97Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 51.2% | 31.8% | 12.7% | 4.3% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 25.2% | 32.5% | 27.5% | 14.8% |
| Ryan Brelage | 12.5% | 16.6% | 28.7% | 42.2% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.1% | 19.1% | 31.1% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.