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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Steven Pelissier 6.5% 5.8% 6.6% 7.6% 9.2% 8.3% 10.0% 10.1% 11.1% 12.8% 8.9% 3.1%
Duncan Swain 17.5% 18.3% 15.0% 14.6% 9.3% 8.9% 6.6% 4.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
John Renehan 12.4% 11.9% 11.4% 9.8% 11.2% 11.1% 9.3% 8.9% 7.5% 4.0% 1.7% 0.8%
James Rohman 7.4% 8.2% 10.3% 11.3% 8.7% 9.8% 10.9% 9.5% 7.9% 7.2% 7.2% 1.6%
William Howard 12.1% 13.6% 12.4% 10.9% 11.7% 10.2% 8.8% 7.2% 5.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Michael Saldi 10.0% 9.5% 9.9% 10.2% 10.1% 10.0% 9.8% 10.2% 8.6% 7.1% 3.6% 1.0%
Blake Burgess 11.5% 11.1% 12.6% 10.1% 9.3% 10.0% 9.9% 9.2% 7.2% 5.4% 2.8% 0.9%
David Pierce 6.0% 6.1% 4.2% 6.4% 6.7% 8.3% 7.9% 9.6% 10.5% 14.3% 13.6% 6.4%
James Fales 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 5.7% 6.9% 14.0% 61.5%
Lyle Fielding 7.9% 6.3% 9.2% 8.8% 9.3% 9.0% 8.8% 11.0% 10.4% 9.9% 6.9% 2.5%
Richard Graef 4.7% 3.9% 5.2% 6.3% 7.1% 6.4% 8.4% 10.1% 11.5% 13.5% 16.3% 6.6%
Nicholas Dragone 3.1% 4.3% 2.3% 3.3% 5.4% 5.9% 7.6% 7.1% 10.5% 13.1% 22.4% 15.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.