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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.55+5.78vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+1.89vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+2.04vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.25-0.13vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.94-0.40vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy3.06-1.78vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.26-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.66+1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.64-3.68vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.36vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.85-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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3.89Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.04Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.96Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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5.6Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.22Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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7.36Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.56Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Pelissier | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 17.5% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| James Rohman | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| William Howard | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Saldi | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| David Pierce | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 6.4% |
| James Fales | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 14.0% | 61.5% |
| Lyle Fielding | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Richard Graef | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 6.6% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 22.4% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.