Race 10A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Duncan Craine 8.0% 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 7.9% 9.5% 8.5% 9.8% 9.7% 8.2% 6.2% 5.7% 2.9%
Luke Hosek 6.5% 6.2% 7.4% 8.1% 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 9.3% 8.9% 8.8% 8.0% 4.8%
Peter McGonagle 5.2% 5.7% 5.3% 6.7% 6.6% 7.8% 7.4% 8.5% 8.3% 9.8% 10.8% 10.4% 7.3%
Declan Botwinick 10.2% 10.2% 9.0% 10.7% 9.4% 8.9% 8.8% 8.1% 6.9% 7.1% 5.0% 3.9% 1.9%
Everett Botwinick 11.6% 11.4% 10.2% 11.8% 9.8% 9.3% 8.8% 8.0% 7.5% 5.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.9%
Clark Morris 11.3% 10.3% 13.5% 9.0% 10.7% 9.3% 7.8% 8.0% 6.3% 5.3% 3.9% 3.5% 1.1%
Ryan Potter 6.2% 6.5% 6.3% 7.0% 6.9% 7.6% 8.0% 8.8% 8.6% 10.1% 9.8% 8.2% 6.1%
Will Priebe 11.2% 11.4% 10.2% 11.1% 9.2% 9.5% 10.4% 7.1% 6.6% 5.8% 3.9% 2.6% 0.9%
Spencer Barnes 12.2% 13.4% 10.9% 10.9% 10.4% 8.3% 8.7% 7.1% 6.9% 4.3% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
Lars Osell 8.7% 9.0% 8.6% 7.0% 9.3% 8.5% 8.4% 8.6% 7.9% 8.3% 7.6% 5.5% 2.6%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.8% 2.3% 2.9% 2.5% 4.3% 4.0% 3.8% 6.2% 6.7% 9.3% 13.4% 15.2% 26.7%
Madison Suh 3.1% 3.0% 4.0% 3.9% 4.2% 4.0% 5.1% 5.9% 7.5% 8.2% 11.5% 16.6% 23.1%
Ted Sherman 3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 3.0% 4.0% 4.9% 6.2% 5.7% 7.7% 9.2% 11.2% 17.2% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.