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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Saldi 9.6% 8.2% 10.5% 9.7% 10.4% 9.1% 10.8% 10.7% 7.7% 7.2% 5.1% 1.0%
Steven Pelissier 5.4% 7.1% 8.0% 7.3% 8.4% 8.3% 9.7% 10.8% 11.5% 11.2% 8.7% 3.6%
John Renehan 13.0% 10.6% 11.8% 11.0% 10.5% 11.4% 9.3% 9.0% 6.6% 4.1% 2.3% 0.4%
David Pierce 4.3% 4.2% 5.8% 7.4% 6.1% 7.8% 8.4% 9.5% 11.2% 14.8% 14.0% 6.5%
William Howard 11.8% 14.3% 13.6% 9.8% 11.1% 9.4% 9.1% 7.7% 5.5% 4.2% 3.1% 0.4%
Blake Burgess 11.6% 9.5% 10.6% 10.8% 10.5% 10.2% 10.2% 9.7% 7.6% 5.3% 3.2% 0.8%
Duncan Swain 19.8% 19.4% 13.4% 12.9% 10.1% 8.0% 6.7% 4.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Richard Graef 5.2% 5.4% 4.9% 6.6% 7.9% 7.3% 7.6% 8.9% 11.8% 13.2% 15.1% 6.1%
James Rohman 7.6% 9.0% 9.8% 11.7% 10.2% 10.7% 9.5% 8.9% 9.5% 7.2% 4.7% 1.2%
Lyle Fielding 7.4% 7.1% 8.0% 8.4% 9.2% 9.1% 10.1% 10.5% 10.6% 10.4% 6.6% 2.6%
James Fales 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.5% 3.5% 7.1% 12.5% 64.9%
Nicholas Dragone 3.1% 4.1% 2.6% 3.2% 4.6% 7.1% 6.2% 7.5% 11.1% 14.1% 24.0% 12.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.