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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.94+4.73vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.55+4.73vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+2.02vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.26+3.53vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.25-0.12vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy3.06-0.65vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.65-3.18vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81-4.22vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.64-4.62vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut0.66-1.19vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.85-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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5.02Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.53Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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5.35Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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3.82Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.78Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
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10.81University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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8.55Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Saldi | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| John Renehan | 13.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| David Pierce | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 6.5% |
| William Howard | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Blake Burgess | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Duncan Swain | 19.8% | 19.4% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Richard Graef | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 6.1% |
| James Rohman | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Lyle Fielding | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| James Fales | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 64.9% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 24.0% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.