Race 11A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Declan Botwinick 10.3% 10.4% 9.4% 10.0% 9.9% 10.2% 9.0% 9.2% 8.5% 6.6% 4.3% 2.1%
Will Priebe 11.6% 10.8% 11.3% 12.0% 9.3% 9.3% 9.0% 9.1% 6.2% 5.2% 4.3% 1.6%
Spencer Barnes 13.1% 12.2% 12.8% 12.6% 10.2% 9.9% 8.9% 7.0% 5.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
Ryan Potter 7.0% 6.2% 6.5% 5.5% 7.7% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 9.6% 12.0% 10.3% 9.2%
Lars Osell 8.0% 8.1% 9.2% 7.5% 9.8% 8.0% 9.1% 9.1% 9.8% 9.6% 6.9% 4.9%
Peter McGonagle 6.2% 6.2% 5.3% 6.2% 7.1% 7.4% 7.2% 7.8% 9.9% 10.8% 14.9% 11.1%
Luke Hosek 7.0% 6.8% 6.7% 7.8% 8.5% 9.9% 10.0% 9.2% 9.9% 10.1% 8.5% 5.7%
Clark Morris 11.0% 11.1% 11.8% 10.1% 10.6% 10.6% 8.8% 7.8% 7.0% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7%
Duncan Craine 8.3% 8.6% 8.3% 8.1% 8.6% 7.0% 9.8% 10.2% 10.5% 8.6% 8.1% 4.0%
Madison Suh 3.2% 3.9% 3.0% 3.6% 4.0% 4.8% 6.5% 6.3% 8.1% 10.6% 16.7% 29.4%
Ted Sherman 2.8% 3.9% 3.9% 4.2% 4.2% 5.1% 4.8% 7.6% 7.6% 11.1% 17.2% 27.8%
Everett Botwinick 11.7% 12.0% 11.8% 12.4% 10.1% 9.2% 8.6% 7.4% 7.1% 4.7% 3.1% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.