← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.41+4.71vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+4.44vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+3.02vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+5.57vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.32-1.63vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University-0.08+4.99vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.34-3.64vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University0.30+1.37vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.06+1.53vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University0.85-2.49vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College-0.30+0.66vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University-0.18-0.81vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.88+2.44vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University0.10-3.66vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania0.49-6.16vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania-0.06-5.18vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College-0.37-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.71University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
-
6.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
-
6.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
-
9.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
3.37Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
-
10.99Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
3.36Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
-
9.37Cornell University0.300.0%1st Place
-
10.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.51Cornell University0.850.0%1st Place
-
11.66SUNY Maritime College-0.300.0%1st Place
-
11.19Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
15.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.880.0%1st Place
-
10.34Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
-
8.84University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
-
10.82University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
-
11.84SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sabrina Starck | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 24.3% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 3.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 22.0% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Penque | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Keelyn Brink | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Maya Conway | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nikita Troast | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 6.9% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 5.2% |
| Gentry Schneider | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 64.4% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Sadie Yoder | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.