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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.41+5.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+8.18vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.10+7.79vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.09vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.06+5.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+5.52vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.32-3.46vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania-0.06+3.07vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.30+3.11vs Predicted
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10Cornell University0.30+0.12vs Predicted
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11Fordham University-0.08+0.46vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.34-8.38vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-6.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.88+2.20vs Predicted
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15Cornell University0.85-7.26vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania0.49-6.76vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.18-5.16vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.37-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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10.79Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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6.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.060.0%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.54Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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11.07University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.11SUNY Maritime College-0.300.0%1st Place
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10.12Cornell University0.300.0%1st Place
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11.46Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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3.62Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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6.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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16.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.880.0%1st Place
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7.74Cornell University0.850.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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11.84Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.21SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Keelyn Brink | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 22.1% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Yoder | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
| Nikita Troast | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 5.5% |
| Grace Penque | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 23.0% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sabrina Starck | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gentry Schneider | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 58.8% |
| Maya Conway | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.