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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.30+10.60vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.30+7.23vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.35+6.02vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+1.66vs Predicted
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5Fordham University-0.08+5.39vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+3.86vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania-0.06+2.31vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.37+2.72vs Predicted
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10Cornell University0.85-2.92vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.84vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.06-1.68vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.10-3.38vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-9.00vs Predicted
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15Cornell University-0.14-4.29vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania0.49-7.66vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.18-5.93vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.88-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.6SUNY Maritime College-0.300.0%1st Place
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9.23Cornell University0.300.0%1st Place
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9.02Cornell University0.350.0%1st Place
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5.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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10.39Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.72SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University0.850.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.060.0%1st Place
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9.62Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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10.71Cornell University-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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11.07Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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16.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Troast | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 7.3% |
| Grace Penque | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Mulvania | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Sabrina Starck | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Sadie Yoder | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 5.6% |
| Maya Conway | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Keelyn Brink | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Lauren Murray | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 14.4% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Pearce | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Gentry Schneider | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 12.4% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.