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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+4.38vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+3.05vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.30+8.70vs Predicted
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4Fordham University-0.18+6.77vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania-0.06+5.37vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.10+3.90vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.49+1.26vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.85-1.23vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-3.42vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.37+1.94vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.76vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.85vs Predicted
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13Cornell University0.30-4.08vs Predicted
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14Cornell University-0.14-3.56vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.06-5.05vs Predicted
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16Cornell University0.35-7.14vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.08-6.30vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.88-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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11.7SUNY Maritime College-0.300.0%1st Place
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10.77Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Pennsylvania0.490.1%1st Place
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6.77Cornell University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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11.94SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.92Cornell University0.300.1%1st Place
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10.44Cornell University-0.140.0%1st Place
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9.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.060.0%1st Place
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8.86Cornell University0.350.0%1st Place
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10.7Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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16.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deana Fedulova | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Troast | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% |
| Sadie Yoder | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Lauren Murray | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Maya Conway | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sabrina Starck | 12.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 6.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Grace Penque | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Pearce | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Keelyn Brink | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Sophia Mulvania | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Gentry Schneider | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.