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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+4.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.30+7.29vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+2.79vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.85vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.35+3.77vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.08+4.58vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania-0.06+3.46vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.06+1.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.03vs Predicted
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10Cornell University0.85-2.88vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.30+0.59vs Predicted
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12Fordham University-0.18-0.68vs Predicted
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13Cornell University-0.14-2.37vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.48vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.10-5.21vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.37-4.18vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.88-0.84vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania0.49-9.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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9.29Cornell University0.300.0%1st Place
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5.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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8.77Cornell University0.350.1%1st Place
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10.58Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.060.0%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.12Cornell University0.850.1%1st Place
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11.59SUNY Maritime College-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.32Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.63Cornell University-0.140.0%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.79Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.82SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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16.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.880.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Pennsylvania0.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deana Fedulova | 13.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Penque | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Sabrina Starck | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 15.7% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Mulvania | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| Sadie Yoder | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Keelyn Brink | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Maya Conway | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Troast | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 4.9% |
| Sophia Pearce | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Lauren Murray | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 7.7% |
| Gentry Schneider | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 62.1% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.