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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.41+4.05vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+3.24vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.85+4.00vs Predicted
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4Fordham University-0.18+6.82vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+5.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.16vs Predicted
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7Cornell University0.35+1.75vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.08+2.49vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.10+0.83vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-4.10vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.37+0.88vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania0.49-3.44vs Predicted
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13Cornell University0.30-4.12vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.88+1.96vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania-0.06-4.60vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.06-5.95vs Predicted
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17Cornell University-0.14-6.05vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.30-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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7.0Cornell University0.850.1%1st Place
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10.82Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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8.75Cornell University0.350.1%1st Place
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10.49Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.83Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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11.88SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Pennsylvania0.490.1%1st Place
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8.88Cornell University0.300.1%1st Place
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15.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.880.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.060.0%1st Place
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10.95Cornell University-0.140.0%1st Place
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11.33SUNY Maritime College-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 14.5% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maya Conway | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Mulvania | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Murray | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Sabrina Starck | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Grace Penque | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Gentry Schneider | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 57.9% |
| Sadie Yoder | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Keelyn Brink | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Pearce | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Nikita Troast | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.