Race 8A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Steven Pelissier 5.9% 6.9% 6.2% 7.5% 7.8% 8.7% 9.6% 11.5% 11.5% 11.7% 8.9% 3.8%
Duncan Swain 18.3% 18.6% 14.9% 13.1% 9.8% 7.2% 8.4% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
John Renehan 12.4% 11.1% 11.2% 10.8% 11.2% 10.8% 9.6% 9.5% 6.3% 3.9% 2.7% 0.5%
William Howard 12.2% 13.5% 12.6% 12.2% 11.0% 10.4% 8.1% 7.6% 5.7% 4.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Michael Saldi 9.4% 10.2% 9.8% 10.7% 10.7% 9.6% 9.4% 8.0% 8.3% 7.1% 5.4% 1.4%
Blake Burgess 11.7% 9.9% 10.3% 10.3% 11.3% 11.3% 9.2% 8.7% 8.2% 5.3% 3.1% 0.7%
James Rohman 9.5% 8.2% 10.5% 8.6% 9.8% 9.1% 10.2% 9.0% 9.6% 9.6% 3.9% 2.0%
Nicholas Dragone 3.5% 4.5% 4.0% 4.2% 4.4% 5.8% 6.0% 8.9% 8.7% 14.4% 22.8% 12.8%
Richard Graef 4.4% 4.4% 5.2% 6.4% 8.2% 7.8% 9.7% 10.0% 12.8% 12.1% 13.5% 5.5%
Lyle Fielding 7.7% 7.4% 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 10.1% 9.5% 9.8% 11.0% 10.0% 7.0% 2.7%
David Pierce 4.3% 3.8% 6.1% 6.4% 5.9% 7.2% 8.2% 10.5% 11.1% 14.9% 14.7% 6.9%
James Fales 0.7% 1.5% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 3.9% 5.3% 15.1% 63.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.