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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.35+7.96vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+3.03vs Predicted
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3Fordham University-0.08+7.79vs Predicted
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4Cornell University-0.14+6.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+5.72vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.16vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.82vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.30+3.34vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-3.41vs Predicted
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10Cornell University0.30-0.71vs Predicted
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11Cornell University0.85-3.98vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania0.49-3.35vs Predicted
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13Fordham University-0.18-2.17vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania-0.06-3.84vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.10-5.19vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.06-5.97vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.37-5.21vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.88-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96Cornell University0.350.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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10.79Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.65Cornell University-0.140.0%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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5.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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11.34SUNY Maritime College-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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9.29Cornell University0.300.1%1st Place
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7.02Cornell University0.850.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Pennsylvania0.490.1%1st Place
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10.83Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Pennsylvania-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.81Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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10.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.060.0%1st Place
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11.79SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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16.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Mulvania | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Sophia Pearce | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nikita Troast | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 5.2% |
| Sabrina Starck | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Penque | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Maya Conway | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Sadie Yoder | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Lauren Murray | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Keelyn Brink | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 6.2% |
| Gentry Schneider | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.