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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.09+1.08vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.68+0.59vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+1.69vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.34-0.97vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.29+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-0.73-0.03vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.05-1.95vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.87-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08College of Charleston2.090.4%1st Place
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2.59College of Charleston1.680.2%1st Place
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4.69The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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3.03Clemson University1.340.2%1st Place
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5.37Clemson University-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.97University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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5.05North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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7.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 40.5% | 29.1% | 18.1% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 24.7% | 28.2% | 23.3% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 13.3% | 3.6% |
| Ian Richardson | 17.7% | 20.3% | 25.9% | 21.3% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 25.1% | 21.2% | 7.6% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 2.5% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 29.5% | 17.7% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 5.9% |
| Christopher Tierney | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 16.7% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.