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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University1.34+1.98vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09+0.11vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.68-0.41vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.29+1.40vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05+0.09vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.20-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.87+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.73-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Clemson University1.340.2%1st Place
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2.11College of Charleston2.090.4%1st Place
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2.59College of Charleston1.680.3%1st Place
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5.4Clemson University-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.09North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.65The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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7.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.870.0%1st Place
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5.93University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Richardson | 18.9% | 22.6% | 24.4% | 17.5% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Thomson | 38.6% | 30.0% | 18.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 26.4% | 26.3% | 23.4% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 2.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 22.6% | 23.3% | 8.4% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 21.0% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 5.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.1% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 12.4% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Tierney | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 66.7% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 21.5% | 29.7% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.