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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.09+1.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.68+0.77vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.34+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.73+2.42vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.29+0.70vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.60+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.87+1.09vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.05-2.54vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.20-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16College of Charleston2.090.4%1st Place
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2.77College of Charleston1.680.2%1st Place
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3.12Clemson University1.340.2%1st Place
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6.42University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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5.7Clemson University-0.290.0%1st Place
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6.32Georgia Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.870.0%1st Place
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5.46North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.97The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 38.5% | 28.4% | 18.7% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 22.6% | 27.6% | 21.5% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Richardson | 18.7% | 19.9% | 22.4% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 23.9% | 12.7% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 6.8% |
| Annika Kaelin | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 23.1% | 10.9% |
| Christopher Tierney | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 16.3% | 62.6% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 4.9% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.