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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+3.34vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+5.29vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.68+0.91vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.62+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.14+4.10vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+0.87vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.84-1.80vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.17+0.24vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.16+1.67vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.94-4.97vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.39-4.42vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.49-5.46vs Predicted
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14Florida International University0.08-5.32vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.98-1.89vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-3.11-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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7.29University of South Florida0.450.0%1st Place
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3.91University of Miami1.680.2%1st Place
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4.14Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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9.1University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.87Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.2Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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9.24Rollins College-0.170.0%1st Place
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11.67Florida Institute of Technology-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.03University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
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7.58Florida State University0.390.0%1st Place
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7.54Eckerd College0.490.0%1st Place
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8.68Florida International University0.080.0%1st Place
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13.11Embry-Riddle University-1.980.0%1st Place
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14.32University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 15.3% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Ambrose | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Stratton | 19.8% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 18.0% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 0.2% |
| Dawson Kohl | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Adderley | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Noah Scholtz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 28.1% | 21.5% | 5.6% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 7.6% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kamron Kaiser | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Miller | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Jay Hay | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 42.9% | 21.4% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 15.6% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.