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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+3.09vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.94+2.86vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.17+5.16vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.39+2.62vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.45+1.44vs Predicted
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7Florida International University0.08+1.45vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.14+1.20vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.49-1.70vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.84-3.62vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-4.08vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.68-7.82vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.98+0.18vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.16-2.38vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-3.11-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.28Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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5.86University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
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9.16Rollins College-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.62Florida State University0.390.1%1st Place
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7.44University of South Florida0.450.0%1st Place
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8.45Florida International University0.080.0%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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7.3Eckerd College0.490.0%1st Place
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6.38Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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6.92Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Miami1.680.2%1st Place
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13.18Embry-Riddle University-1.980.0%1st Place
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11.62Florida Institute of Technology-1.160.0%1st Place
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14.29University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 18.6% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 16.3% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Adderley | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Kamron Kaiser | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Reese Ambrose | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Blake March | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Peter Miller | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Fiona Froelich | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Stratton | 17.5% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Hay | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 14.0% | 43.0% | 23.1% |
| Noah Scholtz | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 28.9% | 22.1% | 5.1% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 18.4% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.