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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
James Rohman 8.0% 8.2% 9.2% 8.2% 9.0% 11.9% 8.9% 10.7% 10.5% 8.6% 5.3% 1.5%
William Howard 12.1% 13.2% 12.7% 13.2% 10.5% 10.4% 8.2% 7.4% 6.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Steven Pelissier 6.8% 7.1% 6.6% 7.5% 8.4% 8.3% 8.7% 10.3% 12.4% 12.5% 8.3% 3.1%
Richard Graef 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 7.2% 7.0% 7.2% 9.4% 9.7% 12.4% 12.8% 13.9% 7.0%
Lyle Fielding 6.9% 7.3% 8.0% 8.2% 9.5% 10.3% 8.4% 9.8% 10.2% 9.4% 8.4% 3.6%
Michael Saldi 9.9% 9.4% 10.6% 7.7% 10.8% 10.1% 12.1% 9.2% 8.4% 6.7% 4.2% 0.9%
Duncan Swain 19.5% 18.6% 16.2% 11.7% 9.3% 7.7% 6.8% 5.3% 2.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
John Renehan 14.0% 11.8% 11.5% 11.3% 10.4% 9.0% 8.4% 9.2% 6.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.7%
David Pierce 3.9% 5.1% 5.4% 7.6% 7.9% 7.8% 9.4% 10.0% 11.5% 12.5% 13.9% 5.0%
Blake Burgess 11.2% 11.0% 10.1% 11.5% 11.4% 9.5% 10.9% 8.7% 6.1% 5.6% 3.3% 0.7%
Nicholas Dragone 3.1% 2.5% 3.5% 4.7% 4.6% 4.7% 6.9% 8.2% 9.9% 15.1% 21.8% 15.0%
James Fales 0.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 3.1% 1.9% 1.5% 3.4% 6.3% 16.2% 62.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.