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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.68+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.94+3.87vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62+1.05vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.51+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.14+4.12vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.84+0.27vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.39+0.53vs Predicted
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8Florida International University0.08+0.54vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.17+0.22vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-4.07vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.45-4.56vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.49-5.46vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.98-0.84vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-3.11-0.63vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.16-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Miami1.680.2%1st Place
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5.87University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
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4.05Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.41Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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9.12University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.27Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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7.53Florida State University0.390.1%1st Place
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8.54Florida International University0.080.0%1st Place
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9.22Rollins College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.93Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.44University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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7.54Eckerd College0.490.0%1st Place
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13.16Embry-Riddle University-1.980.0%1st Place
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14.37University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
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11.58Florida Institute of Technology-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Stratton | 18.0% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 19.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 16.5% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Fiona Froelich | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kamron Kaiser | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Adderley | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Dawson Kohl | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Reese Ambrose | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Miller | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jay Hay | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 14.6% | 43.9% | 21.6% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 18.1% | 70.7% |
| Noah Scholtz | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 28.1% | 22.1% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.